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Fundamental-Teknikal

Latest News

BIG EVENTS OF THE WEEK : SEPT 15 - 19, 2014

BIG EVENTS OF THE WEEK : SEPT 15 - 19, 2014

#Tuesday - Sept 16, 2014
08:30 WIB : Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

#Wednessday - Sept 17, 2014
15:30 WIB : Bank Of England MPC vote (Interest Rate)

#Thursday - Sept 18, 2014
All Day : Referendum Of Scotland
01:00 WIB : Fed Funds Target Rate, forecast unchanged at 0.25%
01:00 WIB : FOMC Statement
01:30 WIB : Fed Chairwoman Yellen Speaks
19:45 WIB : Fed Chairwoman Yellen Speaks


China Weekend Data : Sept 12 , 2014

China Weekend Data : Sept 12 , 2014

12:30 WIB : Fixed Asset Investment (YoY), 16.50% (A) vs. 16.90% (F) vs. 17.00% (P)

12:30 WIB : Industrial Production (YoY), 6.90% (A) vs. 8.80% (F) vs. 9.00% (P)

12:30 WIB : Retail Sales (YoY), 11.90% (A) vs. 12.10% (F) vs. 12.20% (P)


BREAKING : Penjualan Reital AS naik sebesar 0.6% padaperiode Agustus

BREAKING : Penjualan Reital AS naik sebesar 0.6% padaperiode Agustus. Sesuai dengan perkiraan pada 0.6% dan lebih tinggi dari data sebelumnya pada 0.3%.

(kedaitrader.com)

Sentimen : Sentiment Netral for Dollar

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Morning MoneyBeat: The Fed's Two Most Important Words

Subscribed as Kedai Trader Platinum Member for faster News Update & Daily Recommendation | PIN:2B8F7267

Morning MoneyBeat US
Morning MoneyBeat: The Fed's Two Most Important Words

By Steven Russolillo

 

Morning MoneyBeat is the Journal's pre-market primer packed with market updates, insights and must-read news links. Send us tips, suggestions and complaints: steven.russolillo@wsj.com

Click here to receive this morning newsletter via email

MARKET SNAP: At 6:05 a.m. ET, S&P 500 futures down 0.03%. 10-Year Treasury yield higher at 2.56%. Nymex up 38 cents at $93.21. Gold $1 lower at $1238. In Europe, FTSE 100 up 0.1%, DAX down 0.2% and CAC 40 down 0.1%. In Asia, Nikkei 225 up 0.3% and Hang Seng down 0.3%.

WATCH FOR: August Retail Sales (8:30 a.m. Eastern Time): seen +0.7%; previously unchanged. August Import Prices (8:30): seen -0.9%; previously -0.2%. September Consumer Sentiment (9:55, preliminary): seen 83.0; previously 82.5. July Business Inventories (10:00): seen 0.4%; previously +0.4%. Darden Restaurants is scheduled to report quarterly results.

THE BREAKFAST BRIEFING

A debate is brewing over how the Federal Reserve will craft its language in next week's policy statement, with all eyes on two key words.

The Fed since March has said it will keep interest rates steady for a "considerable time" after its bond-buying program–known as quantitative easing–comes to an end. With QE on track to conclude next month, the question now is what exactly does a "considerable time" mean?

As the economy has improved, some market watchers think it's time for the Fed to drop that language now in order to prep Wall Street for an eventual rise in interest rates. Others think such a move next week would be premature.

No matter when it occurs, an eventual shift in language could cause turbulence in markets, with investors viewing it as a sign that the Fed is getting closer to tightening monetary policy.

The Fed's two-day meeting, which concludes Wednesday afternoon, should offer more clarity on the situation.

"At this point, we've had more conversations about the Fed in the last two weeks than in the preceding two months," Dan Greenhaus, chief strategist at BTIG, wrote to clients Thursday evening, noting the big debate centers around the "considerable time" language. "For some clients, the fuss over a few words seems overdone," he said. "At the same time, Fed language is a tool and an adjustment to that language should be something we watch."

U.S. stocks have stalled in recent days, although the Dow Jones Industrial Average still sits above 17000 and the S&P 500 lies less than 1% from its all-time high. A recent rise in U.S. bond yields has been cited as one of the factors causing stocks to struggle over the past week. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note slipped to 2.531% on Thursday, snapping a five-session string of gains.

The moves have all occurred as the debate about the Fed and interest rates has heated up.

The economy is still "several months away" from a rate increase, Mr. Greenhaus said. However he pointed out the last time the Fed started raising rates came in June 2004. Back then, the central bank changed the language in its policy statement only one month earlier.

Few expect a repeat this time around. Almost all market watchers see the Fed taking a slow and deliberate stance before its first rate increase.

But as Wall Street preps for such an event, Mr. Greenhaus says investors shouldn't expect markets to remain as calm as they have been over the past several months.

"The shift from accommodation to policy tightening will almost surely result in broad market weakness, however temporary it may be," he said. "While we've been generally bullish on equities these last few quarters, it's hard to imagine the coming four quarters will echo recent gains."

Morning MoneyBeat Daily Factoid: On this date in 2003, the country singer, songwriter and actor Johnny Cash passed away. He was 71 years old.

-By Steven Russolillo; follow him on Twitter @srussolillo.

STOCKS TO WATCH

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc. shares surged in the extended session Thursday after the beauty-products retailer topped Wall Street earnings forecasts and raised its guidance for the year. Shares of Conversant Inc. jumped 32% to $35.14 on heavy volume after Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it would buy Conversant for $35 a share.

Darden Restaurants Inc. reports earnings at 7:30 a.m ET. Analysts expect earnings per share of 33 cents on revenue of $1.59 billion.

MUST READS (LINKS)

U.S. Allies Pledge to Help Fight Against Islamic State: "Washington's international allies didn't make clear how far they would go to join military operations even as they pledged their support."

Hillary Clinton Faces Skeptical Iowa Voters: "It was Iowa that punctured Hillary Clinton's bid for the presidency in 2008. If she runs again, it looks like she still has work to do there."

Heard on the Street: Economy in Mirror Bigger Than it Appeared: "A faster-than-expected rise in health-care spending in the second quarter might prompt some rethinking about the economy's growth potential."

Economists See Overseas Risks as Growth Wild Card: "After an uneven first half of the year, most economists are relatively sanguine about the U.S. economy's growth outlook. It's the rest of the world that's a concern, according to The Wall Street Journal's monthly forecasting survey."

Severing Scotland Is No Easy Task: "Independence from the U.K. would require the resolution of a host of issues, from currency and oil to salmon and sports."

Activist Investors Build Up Their War Chests: "CEOs, beware: Activist investors who target America's corporations are gathering more ammunition."

Salt the Pasta Water: Starboard Value's Suggestions for the Olive Garden: "When cooking pasta, use salt. And go easy on the breadsticks. Those are two of many steps Starboard Value LP said late Thursday it would take to boost the value of Darden Restaurants Inc., owner of Olive Garden, if the activist hedge fund was to win control of the entire board."

Dimon Opens Up on Cancer Treatment: "J.P. Morgan Chase Chief Executive James Dimon is finishing up treatment for throat cancer and is making good progress while missing little time in the office. He next begins difficult weeks of recovery and waiting."

Brett Icahn Cancels Plans to Start Hedge-Fund Firm: "Carl Icahn's son, Brett Icahn, has canceled plans to start a new hedge-fund firm, people familiar with the matter said."

Alibaba: A Big Deal, But Is It a Steal?: "Salespeople at banks working on Alibaba's IPO say the initial price range for the shares values the company at a discount to rivals such as China's Tencent."

Expats Left Frustrated as Banks Cut Services Abroad: "Americans living abroad are being cut off by banks and brokerages as financial institutions seek to steer clear of a U.S. crackdown on money laundering and tax evasion."

 

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BREAKING : Jumlah Tenaga Kerja Eropa naik sebanyak 0.2% (QoQ)

BREAKING : Jumlah Tenaga Kerja Eropa naik sebanyak 0.2% (QoQ) selama periode Agustus. Lebih tinggi dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada 0.1% (F) dan 0.1% (P).

(kedaitrader.com)

Sentimen : Good for Euro

Subscribed as Kedai Trader Platinum Member for faster News Update & Daily Recommendation | PIN:2B8F7267

BREAKING : Industrial Production Italia catatkan penurunan sebesar 1%.

BREAKING : Industrial Production Italia catatkan penurunan sebesar 1%. Data dirilis lebih buruk dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada -0.1% (F) dan +0.8% (P)

(kedaitrader.com)

Sentimen : Bad for Euro

Subscribed as Kedai Trader Platinum Member for faster News Update & Daily Recommendation | PIN:2B8F7267

BREAKING : Consumer Price Index (CPI) Bulanan Spanyol catatkan kenaikan sebesar 0.2%

BREAKING : Consumer Price Index (CPI) Tahunan Spanyol catatkan penurunan sebesar 0.5%. Data dirilis sesuai dengan perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada -0.5% (F) dan -0.5%(P).

Consumer Price Index (CPI) Bulanan Spanyol catatkan kenaikan sebesar 0.2%. Data dirilis lebih tinggi dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada 0.1% (F) dan 0.1%(P).

(kedaitrader.com)

Sentimen : Good fo Euro

Subscribed as Kedai Trader Platinum Member for faster News Update & Daily Recommendation | PIN:2B8F7267

Economics Watch Today : Sept 12 , 2014

Economics Watch Today : Sept 12 , 2014

14:00 WIB : Spanish CPI (YoY), -0.5% (F) vs. -0.3% (P)

14:00 WIB : Spanish CPI (MoM), 0.1% (F) vs. -0.9% (P)

Tentative : India Trade Balance, -11.90B (F) vs. -12.23B (P)

15:00 WIB : Italian Industrial Production (MoM), -0.1% (F) vs. 0.9% (P)

15:00 WIB : Italian Industrial Production (YoY), 0.5% (F) vs. 0.4% (P)

16:00 WIB : EU Employment Change (YoY), 0.2% (P)

16:00 WIB : EU Employment Change (QoQ), 0.1% (F) vs. 0.1% (P)

16:00 WIB : EU Industrial Production (YoY), 1.3% (F) vs. 0.0% (P)

19:30 WIB : US Retail Sales (MoM), 0.6% (F) vs. 0.0% (P)

20:55 WIB : US Michigan Consumer Sentiment, 83.3 (F) vs. 82.5 (P)


BREAKING : Klaim Penggangguran AS naik menjadi 315K,

BREAKING : Klaim Penggangguran AS naik menjadi 315K, Angka Klaim dirilis lebih buruk dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada 300K (P) dan 304K (F).

(kedaitrader.com)

Sentiment : Bad for Dollar

Subscribed as Kedai Trader Platinum Member for faster News Update & Daily Recommendation | PIN:2B8F7267

BREAKING : Bank Indonesia tetapkan Suku Bunga tidak berubah, tetap pada level 7.5%

BREAKING : Bank Indonesia tetapkan Suku Bunga tidak berubah, tetap pada level 7.5% .

(kedaitrader.com)

Subscribed as Kedai Trader Platinum Member for faster News Update & Daily Recommendation | PIN:2B8F7267

BREAKING : Tingkat Pengangguran Australia turun pada level 6.1%

BREAKING : Tingkat Pengangguran Australia turun pada level 6.1%. Lebih baik dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada 6.3%(F) dan 6.4% (P).

(kedaitrader.com)

Sentimen : Good for $AUD

Subscribed as Kedai Trader Platinum Member for faster News Update & Daily Recommendation | PIN:2B8F7267

BREAKING : Consumer Price Index (CPI) Bulanan China catatkan kenaikan sebesar 0.2%

BREAKING : Consumer Price Index (CPI) Bulanan China catatkan kenaikan sebesar 0.2%. Data dirilis lebih rendah dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada 0.4% (F) dan 0.1%(P)

Dibandingkan Agustus tahun lalu, CPI China catatkan kenaikan sebesar 2.0%. Data dirilis lebih rendah dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada 2.2% (F) dan 2.3% (P).

(kedaitrader.com)

Sentimen : Bad for $AUD

Subscribed as Kedai Trader Platinum Member for faster News Update & Daily Recommendation | PIN:2B8F7267

BREAKING : Consumer Price Index (CPI) Bulanan China catatkan kenaikan sebesar 0.2%. Data dirilis lebih rendah dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada 0.4% (F) dan 0.1%(P)

Dibandingkan Agustus tahun lalu, CPI China catatkan kenaikan sebesar 2.0%. Data dirilis lebih rendah dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada 2.2% (F) dan 2.3% (P).

(kedaitrader.com)

Sentimen : Bad for $AUD

Subscribed as Kedai Trader Platinum Member for faster News Update & Daily Recommendation | PIN:2B8F7267

BREAKING : Deficit Neraca Perdagangan Inggris naik menjadi 10.19B

BREAKING : Deficit Neraca Perdagangan Inggris naik menjadi 10.19B dari 9.41B pada periode Agustus. Data dirilis lebih besar dari perkiraan pasar pada 9.1B.

Diluar dari Eropa, Deficit Neraca Perdagangan Inggris naik menjadi 4.34BB dari 3.84B pada periode Agustus. Data dirilis lebih besar dari perkiraan pasar pada 3.60B.

(kedaitrader.com)

Sentiment : Bad for GBP

Sent from my BlackBerry 10 smartphone.

BREAKING : Industrial Production Inggris catatkan kenaikan sebesar 0.5%

BREAKING : Industrial Production Inggris catatkan kenaikan sebesar 0.5% selama periode Agustus. Data dirilis lebih tinggi dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada 0.2% (F) dan 0.3% (P).

Dibanding Agustus tahun lalu, Industrial Production Inggris catatkan kenaikan sebesar 1.7% . Data dirilis lebih tinggi dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada 1.3% (F) dan 1.2% (P).

(kedaitrader.com)

Sentimen : Goof for GBP

Sent from my BlackBerry 10 smartphone.

Economics Watch Today : Sept 9 , 2014

Economics Watch Today : Sept 9 , 2014

15:30 WIB : GBP Industrial Production (MoM), 0.2% (F) vs. 0.3% (P)

15:30 WIB : GBP Industrial Production (YoY), 1.3% (F) vs. 1.2% (P)

15:30 WIB : GBP Trade Balance, -9.10B (F) vs. -9.41B (P)

15:30 WIB : GBP Trade Balance Non-EU, -3.60B (F) vs. -3.84B (P)

17:45 WIB : Bank Of England Gov Carney Speaks

21:00 WIB : US FOMC Member Tarullo Speaks


BREAKING : Deficit Neraca Perdagangan Prancis turun menjadi 5.50B

BREAKING : Deficit Neraca Perdagangan Prancis turun menjadi 5.50B dari 5.6B pada periode Agustus. Data dirilis lebih rendah dari perkiraan pasar pada 5.0B

(kedaitrader.com)

Sentiment : Bad for EURO

Sent from my BlackBerry 10 smartphone.

BREAKING : Australia Home Loans naik hanya sebesar 0.3% pada periode Agustus

BREAKING : Australia Home Loans naik hanya sebesar 0.3% pada periode Agustus, lebih rendah dari perkiraan pasar dan data sebelumnya pada 1.0% (F) ddan 0.1% (P).

(kedaitrader.com)

Sentiment : Bad for $AUD

BREAKING : Survei Sentix Investor Confidence Eropa dirilis turun pada level -9.8

BREAKING : Survei Sentix Investor Confidence Eropa dirilis turun pada level -9.8, lebih buruk dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada 2.0 (F) dan 2.7 (P).

(kedaitrader.com)

Dampak : Bad for EUR

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BREAKING : Harga rata-rata perumahan Inggris dirilis naik sebesar 9.7%

BREAKING : Harga rata-rata perumahan Inggris dirilis naik sebesar 9.7% dibandingkan Agustus tahun lalu, lebih rendah dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya yang masing-masing berada pada 9.9% (F) dan 10.2% (P).

Dibandingkan bulan sebelum harga rata-rata perumahan Inggris naik sebesar 0.1%, lebih rendah dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya yang masing-masing berada pada 0.2% (F) dan 1.2% (P).

(kedaitrader.com)

Dampak : Bad for GBP

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BREAKING : Surplus Neraca Perdagangan Jerman naik menjadi 22.20B

BREAKING : Surplus Neraca Perdagangan Jerman naik menjadi 22.20B pada periode Agustus dari 16.4B. Data dirilis lebih tinggi dari perkiraan pasar pada 16.8B.

(kedaitrader.com)

Dampak :  Good for Euro

Sent from my BlackBerry 10 smartphone.

BREAKING : Surplus Neraca Perdagangan Jerman naik menjadi 22.20B

BREAKING : Surplus Neraca Perdagangan Jerman naik menjadi 22.20B pada periode Agustus dari 16.4B. Data dirilis lebih tinggi dari perkiraan pasar pada 16.8B.

(kedaitrader.com)

Dampak :  Good for Euro

Sent from my BlackBerry 10 smartphone.

BREAKING : Surplus Neraca Perdagangan China naik menjadi 49.8B

BREAKING : Surplus Neraca Perdagangan China naik menjadi 49.8B pada periode Agustus. Data dirilis lebih baik dari perkiraan pasar pada 40.8B (F) dan 47.3B (P).

(kedaitrader.com)

Dampak : Good for $AUD

Sent from my BlackBerry 10 smartphone.

BREAKING : Non-Farm Payrolls AS dirilis pada angka 142K

BREAKING : Non-Farm Payrolls AS dirilis pada angka 142K , lebih rendah dari perkiraan dan data sebelumnya pada 206K (F) dan 213K (P).

(www.kedaitrader.com)

Dampak :  Bad for Dollar

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BREAKING : Tingkat penganggura AS turun pada level 6.1%

BREAKING : Tingkat penganggura AS turun pada level 6.1% , sesaui dengan perkiraan pasar. Sebelumnya tingkat penangguran AS berada pada level 6.2%.

(kedaitrader.com)

Dampak :  Netral for Dollar

Subscribed as Kedai Trader Platinum Member for faster News Update & Daily Recommendation | PIN:2B8F7267

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